Who's betting on “Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is microwaveshepard, with $60 on it, $7.3K lifetime loss over 444 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is onforme, with $576 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,075 markets (63% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $152
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$152 on it
- 1microwaveshepard98% won of 444$60−$7.3K lifetime
- 2Billtgod60% won of 5$21+$4.0K lifetime
- 3fiter17% won of 842 · noise$20+$50K lifetime
- 4northernrangerno record yet$20+$0 lifetime
- 5lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$6+$1.2M lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1onforme63% won of 1,075 · whale$576+$19K lifetime
- 2oborknez45% won of 217 · noise$226+$65 lifetime
- 3Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$113+$3.7K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,094$110−$48K lifetime
- 5youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$85−$6.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
2 more- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor$12K vol.Yes 96%No 4%Smart money: Yes
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš$12K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is microwaveshepard, with $60 on it, $7.3K lifetime loss over 444 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is onforme, with $576 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 1,075 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.