
Who's betting on “Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 68 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $430 by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 12% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 68 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 67 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $430 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-1777748373551, with $54 on it, $153 lifetime profit over 202 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $86 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $93
- Holders' win rate
- 26%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $338
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$93 on it
- 10x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-177774837355120% won of 202 · noise$54+$153 lifetime
- 2ItsBaneBaby37% won of 222$14−$1.2K lifetime
- 3vlada.mc100% won of 1$5+$343 lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$2+$964K lifetime
- 5sarma18no record yet$2+$0 lifetime
No$338 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,080$86−$49K lifetime
- 2oborknez45% won of 209$81−$16 lifetime
- 3Tallguy252747% won of 24,235$39−$23K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$39−$217K lifetime
- 5sleepymonkey41% won of 539$30−$9.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
2 more- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!$18K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor$12K vol.Yes 96%No 4%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $430 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-1777748373551, with $54 on it, $153 lifetime profit over 202 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $86 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,080 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 68 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 67 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.