Who's betting on “Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.9K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $67 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Josecito666, with $2.1K on it, $203 lifetime profit over 174 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $5 on No.
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $222
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $9.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Snipers
- 1 · $5
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$222 on it
- 1gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$67+$12K lifetime
- 2meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$51+$142K lifetime
- 30x893E26e5413f3cb7CA0E0f8CBBA38457c2FeB257-1767168731966no record yet$46+$0 lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$9+$132K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$8+$255K lifetime
No$9.6K on it
- 1Josecito66675% won of 174 · balanced$2.1K+$203 lifetime
- 20xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$2.1K+$61K lifetime
- 3tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$1.2K+$973K lifetime
- 4beerpongwinner100% won of 14$1.0K−$429 lifetime
- 5DawnOfYemen75% won of 1,107 · whale$586+$31K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $67 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Josecito666, with $2.1K on it, $203 lifetime profit over 174 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.