Who's betting on “Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $373 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Inchoroi, with $872 on it, $21K lifetime loss over 286 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$373+$12K lifetime
- 20xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$252+$61K lifetime
- 30x7c7e4Dbec0f9a45fE518ff8c70f401Cf3Ae2068e-176895854628850% won of 64$234−$65 lifetime
- 4tr100043% won of 1,047$173−$2.2K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$56+$255K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1Inchoroi65% won of 286$872−$21K lifetime
- 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$503+$801K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$427−$41K lifetime
- 4Jest5573% won of 1,084 · whale$385+$145K lifetime
- 5ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$302+$313K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $373 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Inchoroi, with $872 on it, $21K lifetime loss over 286 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.