Who's betting on “Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?”?
Politics · $70K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
84% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
128 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 128 of them. The largest Yes holder is MKIsabella, with $384 on it, $8.8K lifetime profit over 200 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is ggwellplayista, with $6.6K on it, $754 lifetime loss over 134 markets (81% won).
- Smart money share
- 84%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $774
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 59%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| MKIsabellanoise | $384 | +$8.8K | 45% of 200 |
| 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dwhale | $201 | +$33K | 64% of 295 |
| 0x8ebaFB89BB17C1B7a2663358c4A9Cc2f2CA67A23-1760641386933 | $47 | -$1.3K | 40% of 30 |
| coolquailbalanced | $40 | +$4.9K | 64% of 98 |
| xvc347y | $28 | -$1.8K | 33% of 202 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ggwellplayista | $6.6K | -$754 | 81% of 134 |
| bearbees2whale | $5.5K | +$34K | 84% of 251 |
| perfectnostalgiawhale | $2.4K | +$152K | 52% of 929 |
| 0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159whale | $1.8K | +$41K | 75% of 416 |
| KTKKwhale | $965 | +$5.4K | 74% of 202 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?"?
128 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 128 of them. The largest Yes holder is MKIsabella, with $384 on it, $8.8K lifetime profit over 200 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is ggwellplayista, with $6.6K on it, $754 lifetime loss over 134 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.