Who's betting on “Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?”?

Politics · $60K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $60K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

17% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.

133 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is tiger555, with $157 on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 248 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0xa894…53da, with $3.6K on it, $9.1K lifetime profit over 132 markets (83% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share
17%
Holders
79
Money on it
$251
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
53%
Holders
54
Money on it
$9.4K
Holders' winrate
75%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
tiger555$157-$3.9K40% of 248
0xC44919585347FC59c162D51E62dB0F8B072fbB3F-1778303527810$16-$58771% of 7
planktonXDwhale$13+$131K76% of 5,427
lifehack$9+$11K65% of 17
LornaPredictsnoise$8+$30K29% of 10,707
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xa894…53dabalanced$3.6K+$9.1K83% of 132
MaxPowell$2.5K-$13K71% of 49
0x6c10…df5c$584-$62K66% of 1,056
Tenebrus7whale$487+$155K66% of 1,516
Musk5$463-$1.9K69% of 616
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?"?

133 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 133 of them. The largest Yes holder is tiger555, with $157 on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 248 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0xa894…53da, with $3.6K on it, $9.1K lifetime profit over 132 markets (83% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $60K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

17% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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