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Who's betting on “Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?”?

Politics$11K traded31 holdersEnds November 29, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
8%Yes
92%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$966
by 31 wallets
Smart share · Yes
14%
15 scored holders
Smart share · No
51%
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.

The smart money

14% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points.

Who holds it

31 wallets hold a position worth $966 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is TLfantasy, with $253 on it, $30 lifetime loss over 4 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $156 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).

Yes8%
Smart money share14%
Holders
16
Money on it
$589
Holders' win rate
45%
No92%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share51%
Holders
15
Money on it
$377
Holders' win rate
49%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$589 on it

  1. 1TLfantasy50% won of 4$253−$30 lifetime
  2. 20xd262…27e5no record yet$97
  3. 30xAbaE831B41C969d1e2415651c67167455cB156b1-1775559445176no record yet$68+$0 lifetime
  4. 4join-in20% won of 122 · noise$53+$131 lifetime
  5. 5Alphabet.0% won of 1$43−$5 lifetime

No$377 on it

  1. 1donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$156+$829K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,301$64−$52K lifetime
  3. 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$46−$378K lifetime
  4. 40x8D652129B15A8C8e014b4aC2EfBB67C9C72cd6d3-177373285943880% won of 10$40−$115 lifetime
  5. 5baybug91% won of 253$33−$914 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?"?

31 wallets hold a position worth $966 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is TLfantasy, with $253 on it, $30 lifetime loss over 4 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $156 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

14% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.