Who's betting on “Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?”?
Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.8K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $1.8K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is Bsau4, with $13 on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 396 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.6K on Yes.
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $6.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.6K
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $48
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.7K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$1.8K+$313K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$1.6K+$244K lifetime
- 3neutralwave2371% won of 30,950$1.2K−$3.0M lifetime
- 4lan831487% won of 15$695−$280 lifetime
- 5baybug91% won of 253$418−$914 lifetime
No$48 on it
- 1Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$13+$2.5K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,310$6−$51K lifetime
- 3BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$5+$1.8K lifetime
- 4qqqppp-l138% won of 7,217 · noise$4+$10K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,786$4−$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $1.8K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is Bsau4, with $13 on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 396 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.