Who's betting on “Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 44% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $363 on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is blacksilver, with $574 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 7 markets (29% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $130 on Yes.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $130
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$363+$313K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$130+$244K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$111−$8.2K lifetime
- 4baybug91% won of 253$100−$914 lifetime
- 5Jo4nibaba82% won of 17$83−$111 lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1blacksilver29% won of 7$574−$8.2K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$399+$203K lifetime
- 3cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$153+$8.2K lifetime
- 40xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-178200852819057% won of 2,344$146−$3.4K lifetime
- 50x282E29ba8b717C9941f49e40d6cd7970aeE4e8e6-177534061081983% won of 146 · balanced$41+$3.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $363 on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is blacksilver, with $574 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 7 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 44% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.