Who's betting on “Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?”?
Sports · $1.3M volume · Ends July 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
41% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
218 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is Prometheus2, with $991 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 93 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is alpheclabs, with $729 on it, $1.0M lifetime loss over 14,103 markets (50% won).
- Smart money share
- 41% ▼ 6 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 187
- Money on it
- $6.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 49%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 12%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prometheus2 | $991 | -$15K | 72% of 93 |
| TradingWave | $934 | -$190K | 15% of 276 |
| NS13whale | $406 | +$249K | 47% of 1,223 |
| Maanimo | $270 | -$38K | 26% of 202 |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | $234 | -$3.5M | 43% of 2,410 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| alpheclabs | $729 | -$1.0M | 50% of 14,103 |
| webb5008balanced | $100 | +$3.3K | 85% of 220 |
| cigarettes | $40 | -$4.2K | 46% of 42,466 |
| IdaAugustus | $31 | -$4 | 55% of 11 |
| goldisoverrated | $25 | -$8.2K | 88% of 253 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in NBA: 2027 Champion
- Philadelphia 76ers$1.5M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Houston Rockets$1.2M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Utah Jazz$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Cleveland Cavaliers$1.1M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Brooklyn Nets$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Phoenix Suns$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Portland Trail Blazers$1.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Orlando Magic$1.1M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Toronto Raptors$1.0M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Miami Heat$1.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Detroit Pistons$1.0M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Denver Nuggets$1.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Indiana Pacers$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Los Angeles Lakers$1.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- New Orleans Pelicans$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Atlanta Hawks$993K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Dallas Mavericks$983K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- New York Knicks$982K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Oklahoma City Thunder$964K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota Timberwolves$959K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Memphis Grizzlies$956K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Boston Celtics$950K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- San Antonio Spurs$887K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Chicago Bulls$881K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.3M vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.7M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?"?
218 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is Prometheus2, with $991 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 93 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is alpheclabs, with $729 on it, $1.0M lifetime loss over 14,103 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $1.3M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.