
Who's betting on “Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?”?
Sports · $1.1M volume · Ends July 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
64% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
199 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 199 of them. The largest Yes holder is saintaphextwin, with $3.3K on it, $58K lifetime loss over 594 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is WildFernVoyage, with $115 on it, $494 lifetime loss over 108 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 64%
- Holders
- 131
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 66% ▲ 10 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $979
- Holders' winrate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| saintaphextwin | $3.3K | -$58K | 87% of 594 |
| BeniBenassiwhale | $2.7K | +$3.9K | 66% of 325 |
| leegunnerwhale | $2.0K | +$368K | 73% of 1,122 |
| Mrs.Biankowhale | $1.2K | +$1.6K | 64% of 193 |
| GenevaSunwhale | $1.1K | +$1.5K | 51% of 200 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| WildFernVoyage | $115 | -$494 | 69% of 108 |
| unluckymonster | $55 | +$23 | 94% of 36 |
| MenacingTurtlenoise | $54 | +$128K | 40% of 601 |
| alenyshka | $53 | +$18 | 94% of 32 |
| porolon0650balanced | $53 | +$508 | 79% of 28 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in NBA: 2027 Champion
- Philadelphia 76ers$1.5M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Golden State Warriors$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Houston Rockets$1.2M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Utah Jazz$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Brooklyn Nets$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Phoenix Suns$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Portland Trail Blazers$1.1M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Orlando Magic$1.1M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Toronto Raptors$1.0M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Miami Heat$1.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Detroit Pistons$1.0M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Denver Nuggets$1.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Los Angeles Lakers$1.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Indiana Pacers$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- New Orleans Pelicans$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Atlanta Hawks$993K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- New York Knicks$983K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Dallas Mavericks$983K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Oklahoma City Thunder$966K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota Timberwolves$960K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Memphis Grizzlies$956K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Boston Celtics$951K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- San Antonio Spurs$888K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Chicago Bulls$882K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money split
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.4M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money split
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?"?
199 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 199 of them. The largest Yes holder is saintaphextwin, with $3.3K on it, $58K lifetime loss over 594 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is WildFernVoyage, with $115 on it, $494 lifetime loss over 108 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.