Who's betting on “Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $136 by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 11, 2027.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $136 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them.
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $132
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
2 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$352K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $136 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 11, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 11, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.