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Who's betting on “Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?”?

Weather$16K traded43 holdersEnds January 11, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
8%Yes
92%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 56% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$299
by 43 wallets
Smart share · Yes
34%
35 scored holders
Smart share · No
56%
8 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 11, 2027.

The smart money

34% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

Who holds it

43 wallets hold a position worth $299 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them.

Yes8%
Smart money share34%
7 days ago 40%a day ago 34%now 34%
Holders
35
Money on it
$213
Holders' win rate
57%
No92%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share56%
7 days ago 56%a day ago 56%now 56%
Holders
8
Money on it
$86
Holders' win rate
57%
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?"?

43 wallets hold a position worth $299 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 11, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

34% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 11, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.