Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 104 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 55¢ and No at 45¢, a 55% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
Who holds it
104 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dimpled-Foal, with $361 on it, $65K lifetime profit over 275 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is Mandalorec, with $135 on it, $3.2K lifetime profit over 286 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $362
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1Dimpled-Foal85% won of 275 · whale$361+$65K lifetime
- 2MaxEnt41% won of 365 · noise$342+$816 lifetime
- 31walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$287+$38K lifetime
- 40x5b24…70fa37% won of 38$267−$143 lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427162% won of 6,187 · whale$135+$64K lifetime
No$362 on it
- 1Mandalorec63% won of 286 · balanced$135+$3.2K lifetime
- 2Dapsy51% won of 919$68−$73K lifetime
- 3hfv42% won of 44,519$39−$143K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$25−$217K lifetime
- 5johnbowers83% won of 84$12−$21 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
2 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 79%No 22%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.6M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 80%No 21%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$931K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?"?
104 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dimpled-Foal, with $361 on it, $65K lifetime profit over 275 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is Mandalorec, with $135 on it, $3.2K lifetime profit over 286 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 55¢ and No at 45¢, a 55% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.