Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $279
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
2 more- $900B-$1.00T$15K vol.Yes 55%No 45%Smart money: Yes
- $1.00-$1.10T$10K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.