Who's betting on “Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $24K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
94% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
114 wallets hold a position worth $94 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05, with $5 on it, $135K lifetime profit over 517 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is itsjustcheddar, with $50 on it, $8.5K lifetime profit over 576 markets (58% won).
- Smart money share
- 94% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $44
- Holders' winrate
- 41%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 100%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $50
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05whale | $5 | +$135K | 54% of 517 |
| e46m3whale | $3 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,172 |
| 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293noise | $3 | +$72K | 9% of 27,184 |
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $3 | +$593K | 32% of 105,072 |
| aHjCznoise | $3 | +$461K | 28% of 37,429 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| itsjustcheddarwhale | $50 | +$8.5K | 58% of 576 |
| influenz.ethwhale | $0 | +$244K | 51% of 344 |
| daniel122134 | $0 | -$10K | 47% of 3,367 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?"?
114 wallets hold a position worth $94 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 114 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05, with $5 on it, $135K lifetime profit over 517 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is itsjustcheddar, with $50 on it, $8.5K lifetime profit over 576 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.