Who's betting on “Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them.
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $203
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.