Who's betting on “Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 27 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 1% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
Who holds it
27 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $119 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,414 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is DarkFish, with $3.3K on it, $13K lifetime loss over 646 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $291
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$291 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,414 · whale$119+$1.2M lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$59+$255K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$40−$377K lifetime
- 4rocky4201351% won of 983$15−$12K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$15+$97K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1DarkFish55% won of 646$3.3K−$13K lifetime
- 2only-no78% won of 67$548−$2.0K lifetime
- 3bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiino record yet$31−$14 lifetime
- 4GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$19−$89K lifetime
- 5cardenasmanuel98% won of 85 · grinder$18+$5 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?"?
27 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 27 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $119 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,414 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is DarkFish, with $3.3K on it, $13K lifetime loss over 646 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.