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Who's betting on “Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?”?

Politics$16K traded17 holdersEnds April 1, 2028Updated October 29, 2026
3%Yes
97%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$1.8K
by 17 wallets
Smart share · Yes
94%
15 scored holders
Smart share · No
99%
2 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

The smart money

94% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points.

Who holds it

17 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 17 of them. The largest Yes holder is Anjun, with $35 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is sciuboi, with $1.7K on it, $246K lifetime profit over 645 markets (60% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share94% ▲ 9 pts in 24 h
a day ago 86%now 94%
Holders
15
Money on it
$57
Holders' win rate
59%
No97%
Smart money share99%
a day ago 99%now 99%
Holders
2
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' win rate
60%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$57 on it

  1. 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$35+$801K lifetime
  2. 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$8+$122K lifetime
  3. 32B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$3+$97K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,230 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
  5. 5we-are-the-world265% won of 259$2−$832 lifetime

No$1.7K on it

  1. 1sciuboi60% won of 645 · whale$1.7K+$246K lifetime
  2. 2richyee18% won of 5,050$20−$19K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?"?

17 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 17 of them. The largest Yes holder is Anjun, with $35 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is sciuboi, with $1.7K on it, $246K lifetime profit over 645 markets (60% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

94% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.