Who's betting on “Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 23 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points.
Who holds it
23 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is Anjun, with $26 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is sciuboi, with $1.8K on it, $246K lifetime profit over 645 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $46
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$46 on it
- 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$26+$801K lifetime
- 22B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$4+$97K lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,720$2−$28K lifetime
- 4AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$2+$122K lifetime
- 5we-are-the-world265% won of 259$1−$832 lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1sciuboi60% won of 645 · whale$1.8K+$246K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$20+$91K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$17+$334K lifetime
- 4pinner38% won of 1,098$10−$9.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
9 more- Donald Trump$60K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms$27K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy$26K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- UNRWA$23K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Yulia Navalnaya$21K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- International Criminal Court$20K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Doctors Without Borders$16K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Greta Thunberg$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Elon Musk$11K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?"?
23 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is Anjun, with $26 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is sciuboi, with $1.8K on it, $246K lifetime profit over 645 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.