Who's betting on “Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 52 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $1.7K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is wienerdog, with $684 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 329 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $3.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.5K on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$1.7K+$83K lifetime
- 21walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$430+$38K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$252−$377K lifetime
- 4AJM9668% won of 399 · whale$233+$90K lifetime
- 5Lucerys41% won of 130,494 · whale$156+$288K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1wienerdog56% won of 329 · whale$684+$21K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$233+$203K lifetime
- 30x2c0904daf9BC0633760e7027a948c661341a5448-177485930913025% won of 24 · noise$222+$12 lifetime
- 4sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$91+$11K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$50−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $1.7K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is wienerdog, with $684 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 329 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.