Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 83 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $459 by 63 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 56 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 5% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 5% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 83 points. A week ago, Yes by 83 points.
Who holds it
63 wallets hold a position worth $459 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is TruongMyLan, with $53 on it, $99K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is rocky42016, with $172 on it, $8.0K lifetime loss over 688 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $236
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $222
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$236 on it
- 1TruongMyLan51% won of 1,025 · whale$53+$99K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,394 · whale$32+$1.2M lifetime
- 3LearningPizza49% won of 200 · balanced$31+$3.2K lifetime
- 438741100741561181409221789738777% won of 1,806 · whale$20+$102K lifetime
- 50xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-17788119872518% won of 31,027 · noise$15+$46K lifetime
No$222 on it
- 1rocky4201653% won of 688$172−$8.0K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,094$40−$48K lifetime
- 3Isorra90% won of 48 · balanced$11+$4 lifetime
- 4crn143% won of 824 · noise$0+$240 lifetime
- 5god8374389425% won of 20,848 · noise$0+$44K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
6 more- 1.8T+$304K vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- 1.5–1.8T$88K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$59K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 1.2–1.5T$46K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 0.9–1.2T$31K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- 0.6–0.9T$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $459 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is TruongMyLan, with $53 on it, $99K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is rocky42016, with $172 on it, $8.0K lifetime loss over 688 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 5% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 83 points. A week ago, Yes by 83 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.