Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $304K traded all time
- Held now
- $52K by 206 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 123 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 83 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 31¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $304K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
206 wallets hold a position worth $52K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $5.1K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is AllByMyseIf, with $4.1K on it, $573K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 123
- Money on it
- $40K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$40K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$5.1K+$104K lifetime
- 20xA5d833A23bC19B7D38ADcBEE7c117A8F421EFF3A-177930635352573% won of 26 · balanced$5.0K+$9.6K lifetime
- 3nelbal848682% won of 105 · whale$4.9K+$23K lifetime
- 4DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$4.2K+$104K lifetime
- 5zoootic53% won of 201$2.7K−$7.0K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1AllByMyseIf86% won of 1,040 · whale$4.1K+$573K lifetime
- 2BurstedBubble100% won of 4$3.0K−$32K lifetime
- 3Dimpled-Foal85% won of 275 · whale$1.5K+$65K lifetime
- 40x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-177115719040396% won of 49 · grinder$417+$1.9K lifetime
- 5the-contrarian83% won of 6$412+$346 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
6 more- 1.5–1.8T$88K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$59K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 1.2–1.5T$46K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 0.9–1.2T$31K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- 0.6–0.9T$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- <0.6T$23K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
206 wallets hold a position worth $52K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $5.1K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is AllByMyseIf, with $4.1K on it, $573K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 31¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $304K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.