Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $387 by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 68 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $387 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is TruongMyLan, with $49 on it, $99K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is btcabal, with $99 on it, $990 lifetime profit over 231 markets (91% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $224
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $162
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$224 on it
- 1TruongMyLan51% won of 1,025 · whale$49+$99K lifetime
- 20x7D8D908F55C3F95cefd9703E9a164A82D08f0cAc-1774758770711no record yet$16+$0 lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$15−$7.9K lifetime
- 40xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-17788119872518% won of 31,027 · noise$14+$46K lifetime
- 5EmaMT39% won of 18$12−$654 lifetime
No$162 on it
- 1btcabal91% won of 231 · grinder$99+$990 lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,114$40−$48K lifetime
- 3totenhamona90% won of 71$8−$85 lifetime
- 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$7+$170K lifetime
- 5InternoBILL88% won of 64$3−$12 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
6 more- 1.8T+$304K vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- 1.5–1.8T$88K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$59K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 1.2–1.5T$46K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 0.6–0.9T$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- <0.6T$23K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $387 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is TruongMyLan, with $49 on it, $99K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is btcabal, with $99 on it, $990 lifetime profit over 231 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.