Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.5K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is DEGENKHAN, with $1.3K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is DancewithRisk, with $1.3K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.0K on it
- 1DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$1.3K+$104K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,394 · whale$981+$1.2M lifetime
- 3lennyst42% won of 12$673+$1.2K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$396+$334K lifetime
- 50xbd6d…ed0b51% won of 204 · balanced$213+$10K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1DancewithRisk70% won of 335 · whale$1.3K+$35K lifetime
- 212398745644% won of 2,418 · whale$40+$51K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,114$32−$48K lifetime
- 4the-contrarian83% won of 6$16+$279 lifetime
- 50xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-178176949978895% won of 1,703 · balanced$12+$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
6 more- 1.8T+$304K vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$59K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 1.2–1.5T$46K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 0.9–1.2T$31K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- 0.6–0.9T$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- <0.6T$23K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is DEGENKHAN, with $1.3K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is DancewithRisk, with $1.3K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 335 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.