Who's betting on “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.5K by 80 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
Who holds it
80 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is DEGENKHAN, with $365 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is 0xA5d833A23bC19B7D38ADcBEE7c117A8F421EFF3A-1779306353525, with $1.7K on it, $9.6K lifetime profit over 26 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$365+$104K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,394 · whale$257+$1.2M lifetime
- 30x7D8D908F55C3F95cefd9703E9a164A82D08f0cAc-1774758770711no record yet$199+$0 lifetime
- 40xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-17788119872518% won of 31,027 · noise$83+$46K lifetime
- 50xbd6d…ed0b51% won of 204 · balanced$76+$10K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 10xA5d833A23bC19B7D38ADcBEE7c117A8F421EFF3A-177930635352573% won of 26 · balanced$1.7K+$9.6K lifetime
- 2Dimpled-Foal85% won of 275 · whale$756+$65K lifetime
- 3tomorrownow75% won of 117 · whale$189+$733 lifetime
- 4nugdealer97% won of 33$57+$11 lifetime
- 5roserowerbrrr76% won of 21 · balanced$51+$2.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
6 more- 1.8T+$304K vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- 1.5–1.8T$88K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money split
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$59K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 0.9–1.2T$31K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- 0.6–0.9T$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- <0.6T$23K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $4.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is DEGENKHAN, with $365 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is 0xA5d833A23bC19B7D38ADcBEE7c117A8F421EFF3A-1779306353525, with $1.7K on it, $9.6K lifetime profit over 26 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $46K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.