Who's betting on “Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 133 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 79 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points.
Who holds it
133 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $1.7K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is youtube-trader, with $15 on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 8,026 markets (25% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $7 on No.
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $85
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 2 · $7
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$1.7K+$179K lifetime
- 2ydxistheking59% won of 261 · whale$1.1K+$46K lifetime
- 3lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$637+$1.2M lifetime
- 4Juseppe----91% won of 23$565+$23 lifetime
- 50x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-177066559855759% won of 440$552−$37K lifetime
No$85 on it
- 1youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$15−$6.5K lifetime
- 2rocky4201952% won of 824 · whale$10+$19K lifetime
- 3Evya12384% won of 187$9−$953 lifetime
- 40x679e…a25fno record yet$6
- 5BiDiFakePolls74% won of 346 · sniper$6+$126K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
133 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 127 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $1.7K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is youtube-trader, with $15 on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 8,026 markets (25% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.