Who's betting on “Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 13% 66 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
The smart money
13% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 64 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is bobalif, with $38 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is AemondOneEye, with $272 on it, $407 lifetime profit over 24 markets (79% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $42 on No.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $141
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $42
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$141 on it
- 1bobalifno record yet$38+$0 lifetime
- 2Roee33% won of 33$14−$2.3K lifetime
- 30xa6d864B0A342336581d8D009125693D5f00fBf68-1791804410070no record yet$12+$0 lifetime
- 4SotoFund67% won of 6$10−$126 lifetime
- 50xA204785c7460051833B0F56De82A7B717e22a086-176969470113563% won of 8$9−$204 lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 1AemondOneEye79% won of 24 · balanced$272+$407 lifetime
- 2conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$262+$3.6K lifetime
- 3Adam251% won of 138 · balanced$255+$1.3K lifetime
- 4libutong72% won of 115$150+$24 lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,265 · whale$96+$64K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is bobalif, with $38 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is AemondOneEye, with $272 on it, $407 lifetime profit over 24 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
13% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.