Who's betting on “Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.3K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is oliman2, with $1.2K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,228 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $20 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $111
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.2K on it
- 1oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$1.2K+$106K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$940+$48K lifetime
- 3cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$614+$8.2K lifetime
- 4DoLess62% won of 145 · balanced$568+$3.4K lifetime
- 5kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$289+$1.5K lifetime
No$111 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$20+$254K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$17+$829K lifetime
- 3HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$16+$325K lifetime
- 4bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$12+$5.1K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$8−$485K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is oliman2, with $1.2K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,228 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $20 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,511 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 29 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.