Who's betting on “Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $1.0K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x14a1…9912, with $318 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 2,906 markets (2% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $91 on Yes.
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 1 · $91
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $716
- Holders' win rate
- 21%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 1buoys46% won of 1,244 · whale$1.0K+$83K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$548+$46K lifetime
- 3haouibao98% won of 90$240−$196 lifetime
- 40x3a9d…f33284% won of 95$170−$773 lifetime
- 50xD986dd504838BA41C59d57DD2879406EA73dCAa0-177596661461048% won of 54$108−$544 lifetime
No$716 on it
- 10x14a1…99122% won of 2,906$318−$15K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$188+$829K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$155+$254K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$13−$320K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,505 · whale$12+$7.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
3 more- 20 to 34$37K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- 50 or more$17K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Fewer than 20$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is buoys, with $1.0K on it, $83K lifetime profit over 1,244 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x14a1…9912, with $318 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 2,906 markets (2% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.