Who's betting on “Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 52 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.0K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 19% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 36¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 52 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x56e7…7c0b, with $2.4K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 155 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is vaniyokk, with $151 on it, $371 lifetime loss over 11 markets (45% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $96 on Yes.
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $5.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $96
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $407
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.6K on it
- 10x56e7…7c0b70% won of 155 · whale$2.4K+$47K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$861+$203K lifetime
- 3haouibao98% won of 90$485−$196 lifetime
- 40x3a9d…f33284% won of 95$344−$773 lifetime
- 5molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$322+$46K lifetime
No$407 on it
- 1vaniyokk45% won of 11$151−$371 lifetime
- 2uleele75% won of 55$41−$28 lifetime
- 3verororo50% won of 4$36−$4 lifetime
- 4leadernew43% won of 7,493$29−$7.2K lifetime
- 5JsonStatham45% won of 34,979$29−$32K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
3 more- 35 to 49$24K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- 50 or more$17K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Fewer than 20$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x56e7…7c0b, with $2.4K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 155 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is vaniyokk, with $151 on it, $371 lifetime loss over 11 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 36¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 52 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.