Who's betting on “Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 32% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
32% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $494 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is suraxy, with $739 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,468 markets (35% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $822
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$822 on it
- 10x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-177456477937678% won of 156$494−$5.4K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$110+$254K lifetime
- 3somkutimno record yet$54+$99 lifetime
- 4bebopkotl67% won of 3$27+$274 lifetime
- 5WarriorH42% won of 43,488 · whale$24+$150K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1suraxy35% won of 1,468 · noise$739+$37K lifetime
- 2Gladius766% won of 249 · balanced$311+$33K lifetime
- 30x1c3DC2273D64eBE2A99fA39dD8883130c8792FF5-176752542611128% won of 363 · noise$191+$3.9K lifetime
- 4batonragee20% won of 127$156−$292 lifetime
- 5mantou1145% won of 322 · noise$133+$38K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-1774564779376, with $494 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 156 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is suraxy, with $739 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,468 markets (35% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
32% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.