Who's betting on “Viktor Orbán arrested by...?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $111K traded all time
- Held now
- $40K by 292 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 34% 142 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 140 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $111K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
34% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
Who holds it
292 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 282 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x463c16c5A310aFD0dB33c986CBFff0848bd237e1-1764768499922, with $541 on it, $42 lifetime loss over 79 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is enekestomi, with $7.0K on it, $4.7K lifetime profit over 201 markets (49% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $94 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $80 on No.
- Holders
- 151
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $94
- Holders
- 141
- Money on it
- $34K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $80
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.8K on it
- 10x463c16c5A310aFD0dB33c986CBFff0848bd237e1-176476849992280% won of 79$541−$42 lifetime
- 2Elysium777no record yet$467+$0 lifetime
- 30x6519259C2B215EE3c958e57276Ac9D679D3E611B-177456477937678% won of 156$399−$5.4K lifetime
- 40xFA945bFB419be5356d2d8dF050EfA4198B7F9EdF-176258872849380% won of 15$224+$47 lifetime
- 5duhaj57% won of 28$205−$118 lifetime
No$34K on it
- 1enekestomi49% won of 201 · balanced$7.0K+$4.7K lifetime
- 2boomboomfan80% won of 5$3.3K+$5.7K lifetime
- 30x5FAdA23a7c6535EDF82405FBA885Dbb500D2B78F-177583388590040% won of 5$2.2K+$3.9K lifetime
- 40x34a9...d74cfd77% won of 210 · balanced$2.0K+$12K lifetime
- 5Ketabi100% won of 2$1.8K+$2.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Viktor Orbán arrested by...?"?
292 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 282 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x463c16c5A310aFD0dB33c986CBFff0848bd237e1-1764768499922, with $541 on it, $42 lifetime loss over 79 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is enekestomi, with $7.0K on it, $4.7K lifetime profit over 201 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Viktor Orbán arrested by...?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $111K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
34% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.