Who's betting on “US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $21K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 52 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $56K has been traded on it.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them.
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?"?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $56K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 2, 2026 and resolved No. $56K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.