Who's betting on “US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 100 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
Who holds it
100 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xff7c…b233, with $85 on it, $61K lifetime profit over 500 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is spamburglar, with $4.1K on it, $19K lifetime loss over 18 markets (94% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $73 on Yes.
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $354
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $73
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$354 on it
- 10xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$85+$61K lifetime
- 2groth77% won of 495 · sniper$73+$146K lifetime
- 3paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$28+$288K lifetime
- 40xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-176909700745166% won of 614 · whale$19+$191K lifetime
- 5DonPanic70% won of 229 · whale$13+$14K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1spamburglar94% won of 18$4.1K−$19K lifetime
- 2Fr56671% won of 45 · balanced$1.0K+$739 lifetime
- 3enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$978+$23K lifetime
- 4nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$902+$80K lifetime
- 5Kris-Future93% won of 54 · balanced$514+$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
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Questions
Who is betting on "US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?"?
100 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xff7c…b233, with $85 on it, $61K lifetime profit over 500 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is spamburglar, with $4.1K on it, $19K lifetime loss over 18 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.