Who's betting on “US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is ppxtu, with $4.9K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 86 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $2.0K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.7K on it
- 1ppxtu77% won of 86 · whale$4.9K+$47K lifetime
- 20xc602…c4d2no record yet$648+$0 lifetime
- 3Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$476+$1.5M lifetime
- 4theGodFather10159% won of 202 · balanced$452+$4.9K lifetime
- 5willsom72% won of 237 · whale$258+$47K lifetime
No$4.3K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$2.0K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$646+$203K lifetime
- 3vino123459% won of 264 · whale$366+$29K lifetime
- 4scorp021252% won of 60$330−$6.1K lifetime
- 5flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$221+$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
2 more- October 31$140K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$74K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is ppxtu, with $4.9K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 86 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $2.0K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.