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Who's betting on “Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?”?

Politics$43K traded71 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 30, 2026
14%Yes
87%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$43K
traded all time
Held now
$2.2K
by 71 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
24 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
46 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

71 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $110 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 316 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is yevhenry, with $606 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,096 markets (56% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $117 on No.

Yes14%
Smart money share-
Holders
25
Money on it
$295
Holders' win rate
55%
No87%
Smart money share-
Holders
46
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
70%
Snipers
1 · $117

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$295 on it

  1. 10xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d65% won of 316 · whale$110+$29K lifetime
  2. 2BigBoiBettin56% won of 200 · balanced$62+$22K lifetime
  3. 3Ersicolus48% won of 221 · balanced$34+$7.7K lifetime
  4. 4Perypery30% won of 480 · noise$33+$47K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 130,309 · noise$19+$272K lifetime

No$1.9K on it

  1. 1yevhenry56% won of 1,096 · whale$606+$15K lifetime
  2. 2shred777788% won of 216 · balanced$285+$9.7K lifetime
  3. 3Eia59% won of 1,233 · whale$267+$23K lifetime
  4. 4Outsmarter75% won of 153 · sniper$117+$75K lifetime
  5. 5Gluckyklucky87% won of 453 · whale$61+$22K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?"?

71 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $110 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 316 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is yevhenry, with $606 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,096 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.