Who's betting on “Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 70 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is als255, with $893 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 306 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $11K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1als25546% won of 306$893−$1.7K lifetime
- 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$145+$122K lifetime
- 3spartafishing52% won of 501 · whale$80+$1.9K lifetime
- 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$51−$9.0K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$40+$255K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$11K+$973K lifetime
- 2smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$3.7K+$106K lifetime
- 3Konfucious68% won of 512 · balanced$132+$9.8K lifetime
- 4htrhr66% won of 91$102−$1.4K lifetime
- 5Rainless40% won of 373 · noise$91+$467 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is als255, with $893 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 306 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $11K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 70 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.