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Who's betting on “Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?”?

Politics$15K traded44 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
94%Yes🧠 smart money
6%No

Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$7.3K
by 44 wallets
Smart share · Yes
98%
13 scored holders
Smart share · No
85%
31 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

98% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points.

Who holds it

44 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is smellyEllie, with $4.6K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Kippekok, with $160 on it, $304 lifetime profit over 44 markets (82% won).

Yes94%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98%
Holders
13
Money on it
$6.9K
Holders' win rate
45%
No6%
Smart money share85%
Holders
31
Money on it
$421
Holders' win rate
74%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$6.9K on it

  1. 1smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$4.6K+$106K lifetime
  2. 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$1.6K+$334K lifetime
  3. 3Rex41653% won of 1,854 · whale$425+$33K lifetime
  4. 4rocky4201452% won of 1,082 · whale$118+$7.3K lifetime
  5. 5PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$56+$16K lifetime

No$421 on it

  1. 1Kippekok82% won of 44 · balanced$160+$304 lifetime
  2. 2fledger88% won of 51 · balanced$123+$455 lifetime
  3. 3spartafishing52% won of 501 · whale$36+$1.9K lifetime
  4. 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$20−$287K lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,840 · noise$19+$27K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?"?

44 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is smellyEllie, with $4.6K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Kippekok, with $160 on it, $304 lifetime profit over 44 markets (82% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

98% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.