Who's betting on “Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $49 on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is GOLADS96, with $2.0K on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 60 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $122
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$122 on it
- 1Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$49+$1.5M lifetime
- 2neutralwave2371% won of 30,925$17−$3.0M lifetime
- 3rainbowlilies43% won of 2,665 · whale$8+$172K lifetime
- 4BornAgain2680% won of 226$7−$5.1K lifetime
- 5trashtier34% won of 2,147 · noise$3+$28K lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 1GOLADS9677% won of 60$2.0K−$2.2K lifetime
- 20xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$774+$61K lifetime
- 3nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$681+$80K lifetime
- 4WhateverXYZ86% won of 128 · balanced$519+$13K lifetime
- 5Inchoroi65% won of 286$488−$21K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
3 more- December 31, 2026$28K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- October 10, 2026$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 17, 2026$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is Car, with $49 on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is GOLADS96, with $2.0K on it, $2.2K lifetime loss over 60 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.