Who's betting on “Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.9K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $203 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Car, with $1.3K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $861
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$861 on it
- 1gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$203+$12K lifetime
- 20xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$119+$61K lifetime
- 3outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$79+$15K lifetime
- 4neutralwave2371% won of 30,925$64−$3.0M lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$49−$485K lifetime
No$5.1K on it
- 1Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$1.3K+$1.5M lifetime
- 2adenakoz130% won of 233 · noise$1.0K+$11K lifetime
- 3Inchoroi65% won of 286$531−$21K lifetime
- 40xb3D69904ec3FfBd77A556b1477880BB1e2A3DD72-177239037599750% won of 24 · noise$379+$6.1K lifetime
- 5MrMelonHead66% won of 381 · whale$346+$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
3 more- October 31, 2026$26K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- October 10, 2026$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 17, 2026$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $203 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Car, with $1.3K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,784 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.