Who's betting on “Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $294K traded all time
- Held now
- $40K by 147 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 88 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $294K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
147 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 147 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $193 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $12K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 88
- Money on it
- $658
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $39K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$658 on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$193+$288K lifetime
- 2GHOSTIS86% won of 49$165−$3.7K lifetime
- 310145662% won of 297 · balanced$40+$22K lifetime
- 40x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$35−$8.4K lifetime
- 5AgricultureSecretary76% won of 1,275 · whale$31+$589K lifetime
No$39K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$12K+$100K lifetime
- 20xef97…ab2c97% won of 37 · grinder$10K+$1.4K lifetime
- 3Huludubu56% won of 1,051 · whale$6.4K+$45K lifetime
- 4Everestpredictions71% won of 291 · whale$2.4K+$271 lifetime
- 5tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$2.1K+$973K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?"?
147 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 147 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $193 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $12K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $294K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.