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Who's betting on “Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?”?

Politics$160K traded112 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
19%Yes🧠 smart money
82%No

Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$160K
traded all time
Held now
$6.7K
by 112 wallets
Smart share · Yes
70%
75 scored holders
Smart share · No
60%
37 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $160K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

70% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.

Who holds it

112 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $299 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is pink11, with $1.5K on it, $433 lifetime loss over 47 markets (66% won).

Yes19%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share70% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 79%a day ago 71%now 70%
Holders
75
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
46%
No82%
Smart money share60% ▼ 10 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 62%a day ago 70%now 60%
Holders
37
Money on it
$5.5K
Holders' win rate
60%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.2K on it

  1. 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$299+$335K lifetime
  2. 2lemonmeo44% won of 32$186−$398 lifetime
  3. 3AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$118+$122K lifetime
  4. 410145662% won of 297 · balanced$92+$22K lifetime
  5. 5rocky4201452% won of 1,103 · whale$55+$6.2K lifetime

No$5.5K on it

  1. 1pink1166% won of 47$1.5K−$433 lifetime
  2. 2DooBieZ55% won of 1,106 · whale$1.5K+$6.5K lifetime
  3. 3ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$1.1K+$313K lifetime
  4. 4Udonsan78% won of 868 · whale$588+$68K lifetime
  5. 5Beyonddream65% won of 553$408−$13K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?"?

112 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $299 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is pink11, with $1.5K on it, $433 lifetime loss over 47 markets (66% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $160K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.