Who's betting on “Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 59 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 22% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
22% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is NefariousX, with $54 on it, $34K lifetime loss over 101 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is pieped, with $1.0K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 206 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $70
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$70 on it
- 1NefariousX67% won of 101$54−$34K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$11+$255K lifetime
- 3spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$2+$27K lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,720$1−$28K lifetime
- 5UniLB68% won of 459$0−$644 lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1pieped59% won of 206 · whale$1.0K+$15K lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$844+$819K lifetime
- 3AlAhmeda71% won of 1,367$293−$96K lifetime
- 4Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$212+$3.7K lifetime
- 5bufogodis55% won of 299 · balanced$146+$4.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is NefariousX, with $54 on it, $34K lifetime loss over 101 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is pieped, with $1.0K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 206 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
22% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.