NefariousX
Down $34K on $1.5M traded, ranked #3,232,687 of all Polymarket traders.
- Win rate
- 67% of 101 markets
- ROI
- −2.3% profit over volume
- Volume
- $1.5M all time
- Open now
- $36K in 4 markets
- Politics100%
About NefariousX
The money
NefariousX is a Polymarket trader with a $34K lifetime loss on $1.5M traded. That is a return of −2.3% on every dollar they have put through the market. On Polymarket's all-time profit leaderboard they rank #3,232,687. Polkyo has been recording their moves since September 2026.
The record
Polkyo has scored 101 closed markets for NefariousX, and they came out ahead on 67% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 26 out of 100: a mixed record.
How they trade
Most of their open money is in politics (100%) markets.
Right now
Right now the scanner sees NefariousX in 4 open markets, with $36K on the line. Their largest position is $35K on Yes in "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House", which trades at 28¢. Next is $247 on Yes in "Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?".
The last 30 days
In the last 30 days Polkyo logged 8 moves by NefariousX across 4 markets: $2.5K bought and $1.6K sold. The latest: added to $87 of Yes in "Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?" at 5¢.
What NefariousX holds right now
4 open markets · $36K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$35KYes at 28¢ · 28% chance · Politics
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Yes$247Yes at 7¢ · 7% chance · PoliticsSenate control favorite on November 2?Republican Party$167Republican Party at 2¢ · 2% chance · PoliticsRepublicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Yes$54Yes at 2¢ · 2% chance · PoliticsLatest moves
what NefariousX did most recently- Added toRepublican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?+$87Yes at 5¢ · 5d ago
- Added toRepublicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?+$34Yes at 6¢ · 9d ago
- Added to×2Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?+$712Yes at 43¢ · 9d ago
BoughtWill the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?+$588Yes at 89¢ · 13d ago- Sold out ofWill the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?−$179Yes at 14¢ · 13d ago
- BoughtWill the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?+$1.1KYes at 80¢ · 13d ago
Sold out ofUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?−$1.4KYes at 35¢ · 29d ago
Don't just read about NefariousX. Trade alongside them.
Questions about NefariousX
Is NefariousX a good Polymarket trader?
Polkyo has scored 101 closed markets for NefariousX, and they came out ahead on 67% of them. Their Polkyo Score, which weighs edge, consistency, track record and profit, is 26 out of 100: a mixed record. In all, they are down $34K.
How much has NefariousX made on Polymarket?
NefariousX has lost $34K in total on $1.5M traded, #3,232,687 on Polymarket's all-time leaderboard.
What is NefariousX betting on right now?
Right now the scanner sees NefariousX in 4 open markets, with $36K on the line. Their largest position is $35K on Yes in "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House", which trades at 28¢. Next is $247 on Yes in "Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?".
Is NefariousX a bot?
Polkyo has not classified this wallet's trading yet.
How can I follow NefariousX's trades?
Open NefariousX's page on Polkyo and press Follow: you get an alert every time they buy or sell, and every trade lands on your watchlist. You can also copy their trades with play money in paper copy trading. Both are free.
Figures from Polymarket's public data, scored by Polkyo with <2s update latency. How Polkyo works. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.