Who's betting on “Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $2 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $3.0K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$2+$48K lifetime
- 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$1+$122K lifetime
- 3felic062586% won of 43$1−$2.2K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$0+$255K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$0−$485K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$3.0K+$1.8M lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$280+$819K lifetime
- 3Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$200+$3.7K lifetime
- 4Jesetrading76% won of 274 · balanced$200+$6.1K lifetime
- 5guccimale62% won of 34$81−$5.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
4 more- ↓ 30%$50K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ 25%$38K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ 40%$32K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- ↑ 45%$22K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $2 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $3.0K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.