Who's betting on “Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $57K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is Snoorrason, with $571 on it, $201K lifetime profit over 470 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is BetterFish, with $8.1K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 740 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1Snoorrason41% won of 470 · noise$571+$201K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$459−$4.7M lifetime
- 3CosmicCedar85% won of 2,040 · whale$164+$29K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$32+$255K lifetime
- 5Tallguy252747% won of 24,322$14−$24K lifetime
No$18K on it
- 1BetterFish61% won of 740 · whale$8.1K+$35K lifetime
- 2GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$6.8K+$655K lifetime
- 3RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$858+$819K lifetime
- 4manchot50% won of 210 · whale$548+$4.7K lifetime
- 5StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$467+$98K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
4 more- ↑ 15%$58K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ 5%$48K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- ↓ 7%$44K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ 20%$37K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is Snoorrason, with $571 on it, $201K lifetime profit over 470 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is BetterFish, with $8.1K on it, $35K lifetime profit over 740 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.