Who's betting on “Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is ifyouloveme, with $30 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 512 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $3.7K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $130
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$130 on it
- 1ifyouloveme49% won of 512 · whale$30+$17K lifetime
- 2Snoorrason41% won of 470 · noise$21+$201K lifetime
- 3Rex41653% won of 1,854 · whale$20+$33K lifetime
- 4johnnath122249% won of 252 · whale$14+$4.1K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,720$6−$28K lifetime
No$10K on it
- 1The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$3.7K+$1.8M lifetime
- 2andy2939% won of 581 · noise$3.5K+$64K lifetime
- 3Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$1.6K+$127K lifetime
- 4XAE12Archangel75% won of 1,080 · whale$334+$222K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$296−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
4 more- ↑ 15%$58K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ 12%$57K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- ↓ 7%$44K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ 20%$37K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is ifyouloveme, with $30 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 512 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $3.7K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.