Who's betting on “Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $626 by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $626 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $2 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209, with $406 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 307 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $616
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$2+$255K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$1+$46K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 40xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-071715934525693% won of 1,066 · whale$1+$1.2K lifetime
- 5Finnegan.jo284% won of 25$0−$277 lifetime
No$616 on it
- 10x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-177700480220964% won of 307 · balanced$406+$3.5K lifetime
- 2AMAM1355% won of 6,743$103−$120K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,296$80−$52K lifetime
- 4RewardsProduction96% won of 108$20+$34 lifetime
- 5UpTheStairs50% won of 3,057$3−$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Precipitation in Seoul in October?
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $626 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $2 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209, with $406 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 307 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.