Who's betting on “Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 56% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $429 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 26% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $429 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is sakelpuntas, with $23 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 194 markets (4% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $96 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $91
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $337
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$91 on it
- 1sakelpuntas4% won of 194$23−$1.6K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$22+$254K lifetime
- 3FrogCharts68% won of 309 · balanced$13+$11K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$5−$320K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$4−$217K lifetime
No$337 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,301$96−$52K lifetime
- 2Funiculi62% won of 245$58−$2.0K lifetime
- 3dgfd7679% won of 278$39−$61 lifetime
- 4molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$25+$46K lifetime
- 5elberdude55% won of 272$22−$175 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Precipitation in Seoul in October?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $429 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is sakelpuntas, with $23 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 194 markets (4% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $96 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.